Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 9.484936 11.098987 12.862615 14.927241 17.272162 19.846721 22.881226
2025-11-30 7.003669 9.256359 11.976189 15.473718 19.820879 25.013042 31.646829
2025-12-07 5.574859 8.118632 11.439981 16.028734 22.128267 29.873271 40.353132
2025-12-14 4.337324 6.886404 10.451539 15.690535 23.059609 32.902382 46.857131
2025-12-21 3.424759 5.886545 9.551043 15.239971 23.647584 35.377484 52.679960
2025-12-28 3.022808 5.555552 9.526966 15.976663 25.897644 40.228659 62.039599
2026-01-04 2.656503 5.202907 9.395765 16.495574 27.823598 44.709954 71.140398
2026-01-11 2.272578 4.743051 9.012426 16.542674 28.989008 48.107675 78.836026
2026-01-18 1.955191 4.339471 8.655229 16.566485 30.080984 51.425105 86.575289
2026-01-25 1.633833 3.864451 8.098189 16.167597 30.414345 53.542451 92.552297
2026-02-01 1.373536 3.458777 7.603757 15.805893 30.748485 55.643534 98.583824
2026-02-08 1.151018 3.086710 7.115307 15.386235 30.920590 57.456209 104.216361
2026-02-15 0.925558 2.672150 6.505980 14.715763 30.676324 58.714180 109.312237
2026-02-22 0.834919 2.560170 6.513489 15.268363 32.758006 64.162205 121.893247
2026-03-01 0.754863 2.456099 6.521089 15.819410 34.883442 69.832358 135.209064
2026-03-08 0.628260 2.195509 6.131824 15.485460 35.252309 72.369863 143.208082
2026-03-15 0.517014 1.945239 5.719750 15.040073 35.340370 74.375486 150.354512
2026-03-22 0.481394 1.910689 5.828242 15.768450 37.882575 81.114830 166.419241
2026-03-29 0.439180 1.844048 5.843760 16.281528 40.012523 87.194566 181.590226
2026-04-05 0.383020 1.714732 5.672066 16.328100 41.145067 91.410164 193.509997
2026-04-12 0.333761 1.593769 5.500956 16.351644 42.222199 95.572637 205.536570
2026-04-19 0.278470 1.431093 5.180662 15.957237 42.324946 97.783088 213.928817
2026-04-26 0.232885 1.288746 4.891056 15.599609 42.469967 100.073349 222.577642